Here's something you can really sink your teeth into - a calculator from the Tax Foundation which will let you input your tax data. What does it output? Well, your tax burden under the 'Bush' tax cuts (passed in 2003), your tax burden if the plan expires, and your tax burden if the changes in President Obama's budget are enacted. Now that you have this data, you can cut through the noise and choose which one you like the best by simply figuring out under which plan you owe the least! Joy!
What's grown faster than inflation the last 40 years? No, not medical expenses. What's grown faster than that? You guessed it (from the title of this post) - education costs increased almost 1000% from 1978 to 2008, compared to about 300% in the generally price level as measured by consumer inflation. Yes, inflation is one of the categories of spending which is increasing at an off-the-chart-rate.
My friend sent me an article the other day which really summarized my thoughts succinctly - he sent me this piece from Evan Newmark writing at the Wall Street Journal. If you haven't noticed the crazy action in the stock market in recent weeks and days, let me be the bearer of bad news: the major US indicators are down from their yearly peaks. You've probably lost some money on paper, even. Between oil in the Gulf, the Greece Drama, and even North Korea, there is a lot to be worried about. Here's the thing - these are all known unknowns, and generally priced into the stock market already.
I haven't recently taken a look at what the Treasury market is telling us about inflation... but that's now changed, and I'm here to share with you. The market predicts continued smooth sailing on the currency front. My method is the very crude subtract real treasury yields from the yield curve. Currency stability is probably here to stay in the meantime, what with the only reasonable alternative in flux and everything... and the market reflects that truth.
Carnivals (2) and links (5) for the week!
Not: new articles when I get my new video card and monitor. Let's go FedEx!
In Economics, there is a concept of 'leading' and 'lagging' indicators. 'Leading' indicators predict economic activity in the future- they are statistics which give a decent idea how things will be soon. 'Lagging' indicators are the opposite; they signal performance in the recent past. Is it possible that there is a leading indicator of the economy that we all experience? According to an article in the Wall Street Journal, our spam email messages have become more bullish over the past few months.
Substitution and Income Effect: These two terms are very familiar to anybody who has taken an intermediate course in macroeconomics. With the recent articles regarding volunteerism and labor statistics, I thought that it was very timely to write on these two very important concepts.
Let's start with a thought experiment: if you were to receive a 10% increase in your hourly wage, would you increase, decrease, or maintain your hours worked? Believe it or not, any answer is correct, despite many assumptions regarding the positive slope of labor supply curves. The reason that any answer is correct lies in an understanding of substitution and income effects.